Raport o najlepszym oszacowaniu rezerw w spółce nie-życiowej

Raport o najlepszym oszacowaniu rezerw w spółce nie-życiowej jest już dostępny na stronie Groupe Consultatif w zakładce poświęconej Solvency II http://www.gcactuaries.org/documents/gc_valuation_best_est_nl_111108.pdf

Zaproszenie na spotkanie członków Polskiego Stowarzyszenia Aktuariuszy

Szanowni Państwo,

Chciałbym Państwa serdecznie zaprosić na najbliższe spotkanie członków Polskiego Stowarzyszenia Aktuariuszy. Spotkanie to odbędzie się w środę, 10 grudnia o godz. 17:00 na wydziale Nauk Ekonomicznych UW. Spotkanie odbędzie się w Sali 203 (ul. Długa 44/50).

W pierwszej części spotkania planujemy referat Pani Dyrektor Hanny Zalewskiej pod tytułem "Charakterystyka zasobów informacyjnych Zakładu Ubezpieczeń Społecznych ". Pani Dyrektor Hanna Zalewska jest członkiem naszego stowarzyszenia od początku jego istnienia. Od lat kieruje Departamentem Statystyki Zakładu Ubezpieczeń Społecznych.

W drugiej części spotkania planujemy prezentację firmy Darwin Rhodes. Firma ta przeprowadzała dla nas ankietę wynagrodzeń jakiś czas temu. Omówienie wyników tej ankiety będzie częścią tej prezentacji. O jej szczegółach poinformuję Państwa w późniejszym terminie.

Tradycyjnie po spotkaniu chcielibyśmy zaproponować Państwu wybranie się na wspólną kolację. Jak zwykle obowiązuje zasada “każdy (z wyjątkiem zaproszonych gości) płaci za siebie”. Osoby chętne na kolacje proszone są o zgłaszanie się do mnie (piotr.szlenk@allianz.pl) do piątku 5 grudnia (włącznie) tak abym był w stanie zarezerwować stolik w restauracji.

Jeszcze raz Bardzo Serdecznie Państwa Zapraszam i Pozdrawiam,

Piotr Szlenk
Prezes PSA

European Actuaries endorse Solvency II framework for Insurance Industry

European Actuaries endorse Solvency II framework for Insurance Industry

The urgency of implementing the proposed insurance solvency Directive (Solvency II) has been underlined by the development of the financial crisis, according to the Groupe Consultatif Actuariel Européen. Most importantly, Solvency II will require the Boards of Directors and senior management of Europe’s insurers to consider carefully their appetite for risk and how much capital is required to finance that appetite, drawing on expert professional advice, including that of actuaries. Managements’ judgements about risk and required capital
will be subject to active supervisory review and to public disclosure, making problems such as those affecting the financial sector today much less likely.

Although insurers tend to have more positive cash flows and greater asset liquidity than
many other entities in the financial sector, the insurance sector must still consider carefully the factors which may have contributed to recent difficulties – excessive leverage, overreliance on rating agencies, lax appraisal of risks, inadequate transparency of disclosures, ignorance of systemic network effects, uncontrolled securitisation and poor governance
disciplines. Also, where insurance is exposed to longer-term risks including asset/liability risk, results will likely be impaired by the effect of the crisis on capital markets.

The proposed Solvency II Directive already provides a clear context for dealing with the issues raised by the financial crisis, which have made Solvency II more rather than less urgent. Particularly important are the Directive Articles dealing with such matters as governance, own risk and solvency assessment, the actuarial function, information to be disclosed to supervisors and publicly, and the process of supervisory review. CEIOPS (the Committee of European Insurance and Occupational Pension Supervisors) is publishing a
series of papers dealing with how the directive wording is to be translated into Level 2 implementing measures and Level 3 guidance in accordance with the Lamfalussy process. The Groupe Consultatif has been engaged actively in offering comments and opinions from an independent and professional viewpoint.

The structure of the proposed Directive, supported by regulation through guidance at lower Lamfalussy levels, allows the detailed lessons of the financial crisis to be incorporated into guidance as Solvency II progresses. The sooner the Directive can be passed by Council and Parliament, the more likely it is that we can have a comprehensive regime – foremost in the
world – by the 2012 target date. The Lamfalussy process will allow us to achieve a regime by 2012 which embraces what we can learn from the recent crisis.

The proposed Directive was already far-sighted in its emphasis on the balance of risk and capital quantification (Pillar 1) and on governance, disclosure, and review (Pillars 2 and 3). The wisdom of making Boards and senior management fully responsible for managing risks has been underlined by recent developments. The valuable advice that expert risk professionals such as actuaries can add is already well recognised in the underlying
approach and more explicitly in Article 47 of the proposed Directive which sets out
requirements for the actuarial function.

The Groupe Consultatif very much hope that Council and Parliament can, in the very short term, agree a compromise for the Solvency II Directive to be passed, allowing all of the industry, supervisors, the actuarial and other professions, and other stakeholders to move on with drafting and agreeing the measures and guidance so that we will have a much more robust regime in place by the 2012 target.

Note to editors

The Groupe Consultatif Actuariel Europ̩en was established in 1978 to represent actuarial associations in the countries of the European Union. Its purpose is to provide advice and opinions to the various organisations of the European Union (EU) Рthe Commission, the Council of Ministers, the European Parliament, and their various committees Рon actuarial issues in European legislation.

The Groupe currently has 35 member associations in 32 countries, representing over 16000 actuaries. The actuarial associations in 24 of the 25 Member States of the European Union (Malta does not have an actuarial association) are currently members of the Groupe, along with associations in EEA countries, Switzerland, and a number of EU candidate states.

Through its Core Syllabus for actuarial education, Mutual Recognition Agreement, and code of professional conduct, the Groupe has in place a robust governance framework which
ensures the objectivity, integrity and independence of actuaries. Advice and comments provided by the Groupe on behalf of the European actuarial profession are totally independent of industry interests.

The Groupe regularly publishes, via its web site (http://www.gcactuaries.org), surveys
amongst its member associations on issues of topical relevance in pensions, insurance and
investment and financial risk.

Contact for further information -

Michael Lucas (Secretary, Groupe Consultatif) – mlucas@gcactuaries.org or +44 1865
268218

Workshop on Copula Theory and its Applications

Workshop on Copula Theory and its Applications, 25-26 September
2009,Warsaw, Poland.

The First Announcement

Copulas are mathematical objects that fully capture the dependence
structure among random variables and hence, offer a great flexibility in
building multivariate stochastic models. Since their introduction in the
early 50’s, copulas have gained a lot of popularity in several fields of
applied mathematics, like finance, insurance and reliability theory.
Nowadays, they are well-recognized tools for market and credit models,
aggregation of risks, portfolio selection, etc.
The importance of copulas
is reflected not only by an increasing number of papers published in top
journals, but also by several financial institutions, like Basel
Committee on Banking Supervision. However, much work should still to be done!

The workshop aims at joining researchers working on copula theory and its
applications and at stimulating the exchange of ideas and current
achievements. It provides a good opportunity for intensive discussions
about recent developments.

The talks will deal with the theoretical problems as well as empirical
applications, especially to finance (operational, market and credit
risks), insurance and reliability. Some statistical issue will be also
presented concerning the main problem of fitting copulas to real data (and
testing the goodness of the fit).

The workshop will take place at Faculty of Mathematics, Informatics, and
Mechanics, University of Warsaw, ul. Banacha 2, Warszawa, Poland, in the
period of 25th – 26th September 2009. The registration will start on
Friday 25th at 8:30 am and we are planning to conclude the workshop
Saturday afternoon.

If you would like to give a contribute talk to this Workshop, please send
an email to worcotha@mimuw.edu.pl
including a short abstract (not later than 1st May 2009). The Scientific
Committee will inform you about the acceptance of your contribution not
later than 1st June 2009.
We will start the online registration in January next year.
The participation fee is 350 PLN (about 100 EUR) and is payable by bank
transfer prior to the workshop. It includes the social dinner (but not
accommodation).

The home page of the Workshop is http:\\worcotha.mimuw.edu.pl

We are looking forward to seeing you in Warsaw!

Organizers

Workshop on Copula Theory and its Applications

Workshop on Copula Theory and its Applications, 25-26 September 2009,
Warsaw, Poland.

Pre-conference short course.
The workshop will be preceded by a short course “Joint Extremes, Copulae
and CDO Valuation” organized by Wolfgang Härdle from Humboldt-Universität
zu Berlin. Although the course will be dedicated to practitioners the
theoreticians are also welcome. The event will take place in the building
of Faculty of Mathematics, Informatics, and Mechanics, University of
Warsaw, ul. Banacha 2, Warszawa, Thursday 24th September 2009, 3:00 –
7:00 pm. The registration will start at 2:30 pm.
To register for Short Course “Joint Extremes, Copulae and CDO Valuation”
please complete the ONLINE REGISTRATION FORM (which will be available at
the web page of the workshop http://worcotha.mimuw.edu.pl from February
2009) and pay the participation fee (about 80 EUR), which will be payable
by bank transfer, prior to the course.

We are looking forward to seeing you in Warsaw!

Organizers